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Meta Sold $15 Billion of Bonds on Election Day, Then Paid 90 Basis Points More Than in April

Meta Sold $15 Billion of Bonds on Election Day, Then Paid 90 Basis Points More Than in April

Meta priced $15 billion of dollar notes on Nov. 3 and €9 billion of debut euro bonds a day later, drawing a record €53 billion of orders. Its 2056 tranche priced 2.2 points over Treasuries, almost 0.9 point wider than April, as AI capex turns free cash flow negative.

Meta Platforms picked the least convenient week of the year to borrow, and paid for the privilege. The company priced $15 billion of dollar-denominated senior notes on Nov. 3, the day US voters went to the polls, then followed with €9 billion of debut euro bonds on Nov. 4 -- about $25 billion of debt in two days, in the middle of a selloff in technology credit.

The dollar deal came in five tranches maturing between 2031 and 2056, including $3.25 billion of 5.85 percent notes due 2031 and $3.25 billion of 6.25 percent notes due 2033, with coupons of 7.350 percent on the 2046 line and 7.500 percent on the 2056 line. Moody's assigned the notes an Aa3 rating. The euro transaction was split into six tranches running from 2031 to 2065 and drew €53 billion of orders, roughly 5.9 times the final size and the largest order book recorded for a European corporate bond sale, according to Bloomberg. The implied annual interest across those six tranches is about €479 million, a principal-weighted coupon of roughly 5.32 percent before fees and hedging; settlement is due Nov. 12.

The price was the story. Meta's 2056 dollar notes priced at a spread of 2.2 percentage points over Treasuries, almost 0.9 point wider than a comparable Meta bond sold in April. For a company rated two notches above the investment-grade midpoint, that is a repricing of AI risk rather than of its advertising business. Oracle, which assured investors it would borrow exactly $10 billion and not a dollar more while selling a matching amount of equity, still paid about 35 basis points above its existing debt.

The timing was deliberate. Meta had been locked out of the market by a pre-earnings quiet period, then found its window narrowed by Microsoft's $25 billion sale in late October, Alphabet's €6 billion of euro notes on Nov. 2 and Oracle's $10 billion the same day. Bankers at Citigroup and Morgan Stanley weighed the calendar and settled on Election Day, when fund managers watch returns rather than take duration risk. Meta's team pitched roughly 500 institutional investors across the US and Europe in two days, with chief financial officer Susan Li joining some of the calls, and told them the company did not plan to return to the unsecured market until at least the second quarter of 2027.

The bonds are one leg of a wider financing push. Meta sold $25 billion of common stock and raised $12.5 billion from preferred shares late last month, led by Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, and has set up an at-the-market programme for as much as $60 billion more. Total debt stood at $83.67 billion at the end of September.

The backdrop explains the spreads. S&P Global Ratings cut the outlook on Meta's AA- grade to negative in late October, citing the leverage implications of its spending. Capital expenditure guidance for 2026 runs from $135 billion to $145 billion, and third-quarter free cash flow was negative $2.12 billion. Goldman Sachs credit strategists counted $296 billion of AI hyperscaler debt supply this year against a $250 billion forecast, with another $440 billion expected in 2027, and AI-linked investment-grade bonds were trading about 148 basis points over Treasuries against 77 for the rest of the market, according to BofA Global data cited by MarketWatch.

What investors bought, in the end, was not a data centre but a promise about one. "Investors are demanding a higher premium and much greater clarity on how enormous AI capital expenditure will translate into revenue and free cash flow," said Jack Daley, a portfolio manager at TwentyFour Asset Management. The election result makes that clarity harder to supply: a Democratic sweep has put roughly half of new US data centre projects in front of stricter local review, which lengthens the path from capex to cash. Meta can afford to wait until the second quarter of 2027 for its next visit to the market. Whether it pays less then depends on whether the spending starts returning something before it does.

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